Muslim Population in Europe Projected to Grow, Migration or Not

What proportion of Europe's population is Muslim?

Under that scenario the proportion of people who self-identify as Muslim was projected to more than double to 11.2 percent of the population in 2050.

Muslim immigrants have been a politically sensitive topic in Europe following the influx of newcomers between 2014 and 2016.

The Pew Research Center report modeled three scenarios for estimating the number of Muslims who would be living in Europe by 2050.

All three used a mid-2016 estimate of 25.8 million Muslims in Europe as a baseline to make the projections.

Researchers cautioned that it is very hard to anticipate the future and underscored that the projections are hypothetical. Much also depends on economics and European governments, which have tightened migration policies domestically and on the E.U.'s borders.

The percentage rise can be accounted for by differences in age structure and fertility rate between Muslims and non-Muslims.

"Those countries with Muslim populations that are especially young, or have a relatively large number of children, like France, as well as Italy and Belgium, would see the most significant change in the zero migration scenario", reveals the report.

Overall, Muslims could make up over 11 percent of Europe's population in the coming decades, compared with just under 5 percent now, if legal migration levels are maintained, the US-based think tank said.

The report found that Germany was the top destination for Muslim refugees between 2010 and 2016, whereas the United Kingdom took in the highest number of regular Muslim migrants.

If, for example, the record flow of refugees into Europe continued with the same religious composition, and if regular migration also continued, Muslims would make up around 14 percent of Europe's population by 2050, around three times the current number. The report also highlighted the role of migration in stemming population decline in Europe.

The "medium" migration scenario assumes refugee flows will stop but regular migration will continue at previous levels.

Each scenario assumed different future migration rates. "It seems like there is a good chance that the medium scenario, or something a little higher than that, is a more reasonable guess".

In the "high migration" scenario, the study projects that the record flow of migrants who came to Europe between 2015 and 2016 would continue indefinitely, resulting in 75 million Muslims in Europe, a 14 percent increase, by the middle of the century.

Only 1.6 million of the total 7 million people were refugees.

Each scenario predicts that Europe's non-Muslim population will decline significantly - from 521 million to an estimated 482 million. During the same period Germany also took in 680,000 regular migrants, of whom 40% were Muslim.

Europe received more than one million migrants and refugees in 2015, according to figures from the UN's refugee agency. Around 1 million of these 1.7 million individuals are Muslim. Pew's projections showed Europe being unevenly affected by migration.

The first considers how France's Muslim population would be impacted by 2050 if migration stops altogether. Accepted asylum-seekers are generally allowed to bring immediate family, although in countries such as Germany the government has moved to impose some restrictions. On the other hand, high migration sees predictions of some 76 million Muslims dwelling in Europe by 2050. Its content was created separately from USA TODAY.

Related News:

Most liked

Father of missing 3-year-old girl speaks out
Wrongdoing Stoppers in Onslow County is putting forth a $2,500 remunerate for data that prompts finding the little child. Woods lives with her mother and her mother's live-in boyfriend on Dawson Cabin Road in Jacksonville, North Carolina.

CNN reportedly boycotts White House's Christmas party
Melania Trump attended to "every detail" of the decorations, which took 150 volunteers 1,600 hours to prepare, says RT. And she's now ringing in Christmas at the White House in an era when's word of the year is "complicit".

Microsoft Office is now available for all Chromebooks
We checked every Chrome OS device we have and can confirm they all show every Office app in the Play Store ready for download. Chrome Unboxed reports that the apps are now available in Samsung's Chromebook Pro , Acer's Chromebook 15 and Acer's C771.

Tillerson will not send high-ranking delegation to India with Ivanka Trump
Telangana Government included a handloom saree in the list of items to be gifted for the special guest. Her attendance, however, has been called off by Tillerson's team, CNN reported.

Naya Rivera Hit Husband Ryan Dorsey in the Head, Police Say
She asked for primary custody of their son, but they reconciled not long after and Naya withdrew her request for sole custody. The statement says Dorsey had minor injuries and showed deputies a video that supported his account of the incident.

Army called in to control situation in Islamabad
So far one police official was martyred in I-8 Sector during the clashes while almost 200 persons of both sides had been injured. The lawmaker from NA-133 (Sheikhupura) was in the Batti Chowk area to negotiate with the protesters, Express News reported.

Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos Now Worth $100 Billion
The Microsoft founder is now worth a mere $89 billion, according to Forbes and Bloomberg . Were he more selfish, Bloomberg estimates Gates could now be worth $150 billion.

World Leaders Condemn Egypt Mosque Attacks, Calls For Collective Action Against Terrorism
President Donald Trump , in a post on Twitter on Friday, called the assault a "horrible and cowardly terrorist attack". Egypt has launched a prolonged anti-terror crackdown few years ago, trying to unroot extremists based in North Sinai.

Tencent to Release Localized, Altered Version in China
China right now accounts for about 40-percent of the game's player base, the outlet points out, citing metrics from SteamSpy. In terms of the partnership on PUBG Corporation's side, it couldn't have found a better partner to work with in China.

European researchers claim to have identified North Korea's list of targets
North Korea joins Iran, Sudan, and Syria - the only countries designated by the state sponsors of terrorism. The U.S. has maintained North Korea must cease its program before negotiations can begin.

Suspect in NY terror attack indicted on murder, terrorism charges
Saipov came to the USA legally in 2010 from Uzbekistan, where officials say he had no history of trouble with the law. Saipov allegedly admitted to planning an attack about a year ago and made a decision to use the truck two months ago.

Shootout between cops and criminals near Delhi's Dwarka Mor Metro Station
The exchange of fire took place inside a house in which six suspected members of a gang active in Punjab had been hiding for a month.

Harrison Ford helps out driver who veered off California highway
As TMZ report, Ford was driving behind the woman, when she sped off an embankment. This is not the first time that Ford has lent a helping hand to others.

Arab League leaders slam Iran amid regional tensions
Saad Hariri will head to Egypt on Tuesday after the Arab League accused Iran of "aggression" against Arab states. On Saturday, Mr Hariri was in Paris, where he met French president Emmanuel Macron.

Apple delays HomePod smart speaker
Although developers can make apps for Siri and HomePod, they're now limited to building things like lists, notes, and messaging. The first quarter of 2018 may see the speakers being shipped to the United States , the UK and the Australian markets.